2026 Outlook: Climbing the Wall of Worry

Why Altseason Has Not Started Yet | Part 1 of 4

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Sentiment is lost. Headlines are noisy. But beneath the surface, time is speaking.

And time, not hype, is what builds wealth.

Before we start…

Our Skool Community is growing, and I’m happy to welcome Ahmad on our Skool team!

With a background as a Portfolio Manager, he will bring his experiences of the Stock Markets. He will take care of the Equities on the Skool platform.

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2026 won’t be about luck. It will be about preparation.

We’re heading into a year filled with uncertainty:
• Is AI topping out?
• Can equities defy gravity again?
• Is crypto dead, or on the verge of something historic?

The crowd is asking questions. But as always, the crowd is asking the wrong ones.
Our job is not to react to noise. It’s to listen to signal, especially time-based signal.

In this issue, we map the year ahead with clarity, focusing on macro cycles, market structure, and psychological turning points. You’ll see why the middle of 2026 may prove more important than most realize.

But first, we need to clear something up...

Where Is Altseason? Why Your Bags Aren’t Moving (Yet)

Let’s start with the question on everyone’s mind:

"Where is altseason?"
BTC moved.
Narratives popped.
Liquidity headlines are everywhere.
So why are altcoins still dead?

Here’s the hard truth:
Altseason isn’t late.
It’s suppressed. On purpose.
And once you understand why, you stop being frustrated, and start positioning correctly.

Altseason is not a reward for HODLing. It’s a release valve triggered by three strict conditions:

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Condition 1: BTC Speculation Must Exhaust Itself

As long as people are still chasing BTC breakouts and leverage is centered there, the market can’t rotate.

BTC acts like a gravitational black hole: pulling capital and attention inward.
Right now, that gravity is still active.
Alts can’t move until that focus fades.

Condition 2: ETH Must Lead BTC First

ETH is the bridge.
No altseason ever starts without ETH gaining ground against BTC.

ETH/BTC is the trigger. When ETH is weak, capital doesn't flow downstream.

ETH/BTC


Until that chart flips bullish, don’t expect a real alt rotation: only hype cycles and false starts.

Right now?
ETH/BTC is still sideways = No greenlight for alts.

Condition 3: Retail Must Emotionally Capitulate

This is the painful one.

Altseason doesn’t begin when everyone’s waiting for it.
It begins when nobody cares anymore.
When sentiment dies.
When hope fades.
When people close their charts and move on.

We’re close… but not there yet.

This phase isn’t designed to wreck you financially. It’s designed to wear you down mentally.

No trend.
No follow-through.
Just boredom.
It’s working.
And it’s bullish, but not yet.

2026: The Year of Time.

Here’s what our internal map shows:

The 7-year Gann cycle aligns with multiple 3.5-year cycles → summer 2026 may be the climax
The 180-week time factor from past BTC/ETH tops & bottoms converges around Q2/Q3
Copper, equities, and ETH correlations suggest a macro shift brewing beneath the surface
Retail sentiment is historically low: setting up explosive conditions once structure flips

We’ll publish the full Gann roadmap, including specific windows, ratios, and seasonal pivot dates, in January.

But here’s the bottom line:

Markets are not late. They’re loading.
You’re not being left behind.
You’re being invited to prepare.

What To Do Now

→ Don’t panic-sell boredom.
→ Watch ETH/BTC like a hawk.
→ Let BTC exhaust itself.
→ Use this time to rotate, research, rebalance.
→ Remember: Altseason starts in silence. Not on Twitter.

Useful Links & Inspiration

🟡 Breakpoint 2025: Opening Keynote & Macro Teach-In: EXPAAM (Raoul Pal)
🔗 Watch →

🎧 Tom Lee: The Crypto SUPERCYCLE Is Still Alive... & Ethereum Is Going to LEAD!
🔗 Listen here →

Final Word

Most will miss the opportunity because they can’t wait.
The prepared will seize it because they studied.

Time is the great equalizer.
In 2026, it’s your greatest asset.

Stay focused.
Stay patient.
Stay lethal.

We’re not just observing…

We’re building it. Join us and stay 3 steps ahead.

Whatever your needs may be, have a look at our linktree and book your free 1-on-1, or join our Skool Community

Stay strategic. Stay grounded. Stay halal.


Saâd
from Swiss Islamic Finance