Saâd's Market Outlook

Zooming out

The market is doing what it does best: testing your patience.

Last week started strong, gave everyone hope, then pulled the rug right back.
Bitcoin stalled. Ethereum hesitated. Solana teased a breakout but didn’t follow through.

Stocks are stealing headlines again, Gold keeps climbing quietly, and crypto? Still sitting in the corner, waiting for its moment.

That’s fine. Let them have their moment.
Ours is coming.

Because under the surface, adoption headlines are ticking up, liquidity is creeping back in, and every single week, the structure strengthens.

This is not weakness.
This is compression.
And compression always leads to expansion.

My Take

Let’s be blunt.

Crypto is still regaining its footing after that liquidation flush earlier this month.
Retail confidence? Still cracked.
Fear? Still dominant.

The Fear & Greed Index sits at 42 up from 27 last week.

That’s not euphoria. That’s slow recovery.

When sentiment feels dead, that’s when foundations are built.
Don’t confuse boredom with safety.

Markets that move sideways this long are preparing for something big.
Historically, November marks the shift: when disbelief turns into greed.

So while everyone’s bored, we’re watching quietly, ready for the acceleration phase.

🟧 BTC: The Patience Game

BTC is sitting right in the middle of the zone we’ve been tracking: $106K–$125K.

No man’s land.
No trade zone.

You don’t FOMO in the middle: you wait for confirmation.

Two scenarios from here:

1. Break above 125K → structure flips bullish again, next leg begins.

2. Flush to 106K → final fear event before smart money reloads.

Every wick down is designed to shake emotions out of traders: fear, doubt, regret.

Remember: markets are engineered to make you act emotionally.
You only win when you learn to do the opposite.

That’s why I’m holding my fire.
Smart money doesn’t chase. It positions quietly while the crowd panics.

🟪 ETH: The Sleeping Giant

ETH is showing quiet strength.

Price is holding around $4-4.2K, bouncing back steadily after tagging the $3.5K and $4K supports we highlighted earlier this month.

Momentum is curling back up (on weekly) Stoch RSI is confirming.
Structure remains intact.

Real confirmation comes above $4’950: that’s the breakout level that triggers capital rotation from BTC into ETH and the rest of the market.

Between $3.4K–$4.9K, it’s still accumulation territory.

Ignore the noise.

“ETH is dead. BTC dominance forever.”
They said the same in 2020, right before ETH did a 6x.

Stick to the plan. The structure is clean.

🟩 SOL: Still One of the Best Charts Out There

SOL is currently hovering around $200, recovering nicely from its intraday flush.

Buyers stepped in exactly where they should have: right in the green box.

Last week, US session volatility faked a breakdown, but liquidity was quickly reclaimed. That’s bullish behavior.

If you panicked, learn from it.
If you bought the dip, well done, that’s conviction in action.

Now the key is clear: $215 weekly close.

Reclaim that level, and we’re heading straight toward $230+, possibly $250 if momentum follows BTC’s next push.

But remember:
Sunday pumps lie.
Monday candles tell the truth.

TOTAL: Quietly Bullish

Total crypto market cap (TOTAL) is holding at $3.75T, just above the key $3.72T support.

That’s massive.
Why?

Because this isn’t retail money: it’s institutional liquidity rotating back in.

As long as TOTAL stays above that zone, the next expansion phase remains intact.

It’s the same pattern we saw before every major leg:
→ Long, boring range.
→ Frustration.
→ Then sudden parabolic acceleration.

That’s where we are right now.
The accumulation phase before disbelief turns into mania.

Final Word

Everyone’s watching stocks.
Everyone’s saying “crypto’s dead” or “it’s boring again.”

Good.

That’s how every major move starts: in silence.

I’ve seen this movie before:
2017, 2020, 2023.
Same boredom, same chop.

Then: chaos.

So here’s how I’m positioned:

📍 BTC: No trade zone between 106K–125K. Patience.
📍 ETH: Loaded between 3.5K–4K, holding until 4.95K breakout.
📍 SOL: Watching 215 weekly close. Above that, next leg to 230+.
📍 TOTAL: Holding above ATH zone at 3.72T. Quietly bullish.

Stay patient. Stay lethal.

This is the phase where most people quit right before the move they’ve been waiting for all year.

If you’re still guessing, you’re already behind.
We’ve been preparing for this rotation for weeks.

Join our Traders Discord

Real structure. Real setups. Real conviction.t for you.

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—
Saâd
from Swiss Islamic Finance

Invite Your Friends

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