Zooming Out

Salam,

For the past 11 months, crypto chopped sideways. Small caps underperformed. Liquidity was trapped in the same 7 mega-cap tech names. Many lost conviction. Most gave up.

But that phase is now over.

We are entering a structurally new regime: one where liquidity is reallocated, politics turn risk-on, and the biggest rotation in years is already in motion.

Macro + Politics = The Spark

In just the past 72 hours, the U.S. administration triggered a series of explosive policy shifts:

• $200 billion in mortgage bond buying via Fannie & Freddie, designed to force mortgage rates lower and re-ignite the housing market

  

• A move to block institutional investors like BlackRock from buying single-family homes. Like Trump or not, this move is very healthy and necessary for the market:

  

• Capping defense contractor buybacks, forcing capital to flow into production and infrastructure

  

• A 75% increase in military spending, injecting $500B+ into industrials

• Calls to cap credit card rates, lowering household debt burdens

• And fresh geopolitical plays in Venezuela and Greenland to secure long-term energy and resource supply

These aren’t random moves. They’re all part of what we call the "By Any Means Necessary" economy: a regime of forced liquidity, designed to make Americans feel wealthier heading into the 2026 elections.

The Charts Are Screaming

The price action confirms it:

🟢 IWM/SPX just broke a 4.5-year downtrend (IWM is The iShares Russell 2000 ETF seeks to track the investment results of an index composed of small-capitalization U.S. equities):

🟢 Russell vs. Nasdaq (IWM/QQQ) is at 10-month highs, breaking out of a rounded bottom:

🟢 Crypto altcoin index (Total3/BTC) is knocking at major resistance:

🟢 BTC Spot ETFs saw $1.2B in inflows in the first two trading days of 2026: a $150B/year pace:

Goldman Sachs now forecasts:

• Nasdaq EPS +20% in 2026

• Russell 2000 EPS +67%
  When earnings growth drives markets, these are numbers you don’t ignore:

  

  :

Even meme stocks like GME and AMC are quietly waking up. That’s your “animal spirits” signal.

This is no longer about safety. It’s about beta.

Reminder

You’re still missing out on this:

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Why Now?

The window is now open:

• We’re 180 days from the passing of the GENIUS Act

  

• 720 days (2 full cycles) from the IBIT ETF all-time low

  

• 5 years to the day since the January 2021 GME squeeze

  

Cycles. Liquidity. Psychology. All aligned.

The market doesn’t wait for everyone to catch up. It moves when the majority is offside. That’s where we are now.

Summary: 2026 Melt-Up Has Started

✅ Policy is turning risk-on
✅ Liquidity is entering the system: fiscally, not just via the Fed
✅ BTC and IWM are early leaders
✅ Cycle dates, sentiment, and positioning all scream “go”
✅ Crypto altcoins and small caps are the next rotation targets

If you’re still overweight cash, underweight beta, or anchored in fear: adjust quickly.

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—
Saâd
from Swiss Islamic Finance